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Summary 3 of Statistic


Hi all...Hopefully you are in a good health...

 

Today I want to share about last part of Statistic that I have learnt in Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia.

 

The topic is about the Prediction, not a probability but a Prediction..

 

Ocay, what is the difference between Probability and Prediction ?

 

Actually the Probability is a chance of something to be a value that we want AND the Prediction is the value of something after we have analyzed it, for example in the next month, the sales of our company will be as $100000 as a prediction we have analyzed it.

 

Ocay, we can find the Probability the sales in the next month will be as $100000. Based on the past data, we got the Probability to get sales as much as $100000 is 0.76 or 76%. So, the Prediction is $100000 and the Probability is 0.76. Hopefully you all will see the difference between the Probability and Prediction.

 

For Prediction, we usually use a Regression Method. For example, we want to know the prediction of Composite Index of the next day based on the Plantation Index today and the Mining Index today.

For example :

Y = Index Composite of the next day

X = Plantation Index today

Z = Mining Index today

 

So, through this analysis, we want to know are there existed the relation between Y, X and Z.

 

So we make the regression analysis and for example we got there have relation between Y and X and Z and for example the value of it we got as :

Y = 0.41X + 0.13Z


So we can predict Y right  =)


Ocay, that`s all for today....



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Summary of Statistic 2


 

Hi, have a great day today...

 

In this day I want to share of Statistic again but the topics is about how we want to calculate the probability of mean, proportion and variance.

 

What is the mean meaning ? Actually mean is an average.

 

Normally we find the probability of some data like the marks of student. For example the probability of the marks of student getting A in examination.

 

But In this topic, we would like to find the probability of the marks average of student getting score 50% and above. Not the probability of one student getting score 50% and above but the probability of average of marks of the student getting score 50% and above.

 

It is same to proportion and variance. We use Sample Distribution to find the probability of the Mean, Proportion and Variance.

 

Ocay, that`s all for today...

 

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Summary of Statistic 1

 



What is Statistic ?

 

Actually, Statistic is a mathematical method to find probability of something and also to predict of something like stock exchange or anything that have a data so that we can predict it.

 

The way to calculate of Statistic Method is we usually use calculation of Calculus.

 

There has two category of function, one is Discrete Function and one more is Continuous Function to find the probability of something.

 

For Discrete Function we have :

1)    Binomial Distribution

2)    Geometric Distribution

3)    Negative Binomial Distribution

4)    Hypergeometric Distribution

5)    Poison Distribution

 

For Continuous Function we have :

1)    Uniform Distribution

2)    Normal Distribution

3)    Gamma Distribution

4)    Beta Distribution

 

 

What is Distribution ?

Actually Distribution is a behaviour of some category data and each Distribution have its method of calculation to find the probability, mean, and variance. Actually each Distribution is a behaviour of something category data that analyzed by Mathematicians so long ago and give the results of something category of data. For example, if we want to analyze or find the probability of A category data, we use Z Distribution, and for category data of B, we use V Distribution. To get knowing of the data follow of what Distribution, there has a few Conditions and for example we can use Binomial Distribution if the situation and data are in the Conditions of Binomial Distribution.

 

That`s all for today..In another article, I will share about Statistic also, but is in the Sample Topic of Statistic.

 

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Summary of Calculus Subject that taught in University Level ( One of Main Subject of Actuary)

 

Firstly, I would like to share what is a Calculus method that actuary learn to create insurance product. Actually Calculus is a calculation method in Statistic in order to find the probability or prediction of the something that we want to know.

 

It is about Differentiation Method and Integration Method and also how to calculate the function of probability whether it is Discret Function or Continuos Function. What I have learnt is about how to calculate of probability whether it is Discret Function or Continuous Function. For Discrete Function, we usually used of plus (+) and minus (-) method. And for Continuous Function, we usually used the Differentiation and Integration Method.

 

In this part, we also learnt about how to calculate the mixture function, which is some part it is in Discret Function and another part is in Continuous Function.

 

What is the Function meaning ? Actually, the Function meaning is the probability.

 

That`s all for today... Thank you for reading..

 

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Ocay...Have a good day..bye.. =) =)


My Story of Long Time of Not Writing this Blog




Last October 2018, I was attacked by one odd disease that I don`t know what is it. I can not walk urgently, when I tried to stand up, I cann`t. What happen to my leg, what is the matter I thought. Then, I being rilex and try to stand up, but this time I tried to stand up by cling to the chair and it`s work! Great, but still not satisfied why I cann`t stand up and work. Then, I tried to walk and fall down to the floor. I told my mother, and she said to try sorting by traditional practiser in healthy. I tried for one night sorted by practiser of healthy but it still can not walk.

After a few days, my family decided to admit me to the hospital. When I met a Doctor, firstly, she guessed that I was attacked by GBS disease which in long name, it is called as Guillane Barre Syndrom which is our muscle will changed from strong to weaker from normal.  I was admitted to ward and being poke via needle by a nurse and transfer the medicine to my body. In short note that I noticed by a Doctor is GBS disease actually the disease which is caused by a changing of our antibody to the virus (can be regarded it) that attacked my body. In short note, my antibody has changed to be bad and was attacked my body.

I was admitted to the hospital  for5  days and at the evening of the 5th day, I was consented by a Doctor to back home. I can not stand up which is also cann`t walk. From the ward to my father`s car, I was bringed on the wheelchair.
My younger brother buy for me a stick in hopes that I can stand up and walk eventhough by a stick. After a few days at home with eating the medicine from Doctor, the day comes which is the day that I need to go to hospital and doing fisiotheraphy by the Doctor. The Doctor ask me to doing the specific training as the training is the training in hopes that I can walk again.

I was walking by hands for three months, then I tried to stand up by cling to a chair and it is working.  I could stand up, that`s has made my heart happy. Then, I sat down back. After a few days, I tried to walk and tried to walk with stick and it started  giving a positive results.  In a month, I could walk without stick but my body is not strong as normal. My energy is at the lowest measure. From the Doctor said, it will take a long time to recover 100% and it can be 2, 3, or 4 years or I maybe can not recover 100% back. But I still thanked to my God of giving me walking again.

That`s all about my story about before this. Hopefully, it will give you a knowledge about GBS.

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What is Related to Nasi Lemak and Google





Malaysia citizen and Nasi Lemak as usually become of chosen meal for breakfast. That is same for Google!

As to celebrate the special meal of Malaysia citizen, Google has uploaded the video clip of doodle at 4o seconds of duration and with the theme as “Celebrating Nasi Lemak”.

Google is now, has showed the way to produce Nasi Lemak on a Banana Leaf with the ‘Kain Batik’ as a background together with the GOOGLE word. Besides that, as a another way of tribute to the Malaysia heritage, Gamelan music has been the background of the video clip of doodle.

Therefore, Google have succeeded to combine all elements in order to produce Complete dishes of Nasi Lemak Set. That are included of fried chicken, fried egg, and a fish. Not to forget, the version of meat rendan also included. But what is important is, you have to make sure that there are no crispy version!!

Eventhough there is only a doodle of 40 seconds of duration, but for Malaysia citizen, they should to be proud of the symbolic matter that involved their country. As for me, also Malaysia citizen, I`m also feel proud of it.




And for your knowledge, this is not the first time that Google appeared with doodle with the theme of Malaysia, as this is because Google also has emerged the Celebration of General Election, Tan Sri P.Ramlee, Mokhtar Dahari and also Yasmin Ahmad. Do not trusted ? Just google it, J

Houses under of 1 Euro per house are being selled in Italy





Living and owned a house in the place of surrounded with Mounts can make us feel free, calm and can run from the busy at the big cities. As additional, if the place also was surrounded with the sea, it will give us more calmness. But to fulfill this fantasy, it is not an easy work.

For those who are used that living in the good cities, maybe they do not interested to owned a house in that place as they are known that place usually has the less facilities from what they has  enjoyed in the good city. But there have certain of people that who are living in the good city, and have been retired from working as it is an old man and old woman who are staple from busy of city, maybe they will find the place who are fully of calmness to ended their live with enjoying the calmness that existed in the place that I explained in the first paragraph. But I am not denied that place has the less facility and also less of medical treatments. What I want to say is, there have certain people who are like to live in the place that I explained in the first paragraph, not mind there are young people or old people, what I try to say is, there have certain people who are like to live in that place.



But I have a good news for you all that who are interested to owned the first house with the cheap price, very cheap.  There have been a several cities in Italy that sold a house under 1 Euro of price, the cities that I have mentioned are Sardinia Island, Sicilly Island, and Campania. All cities are in Italy that have been sold in less of 1 Euro per house.

Case a 1 Euro is a program of Local Government that sold houses in less of 1 Euro per house that happened in Italy. Yes, a house at the ventilation places can be owned at the price under the 1 Euro.



One of the places that participates in this program is the place that located at the mountainsides in the Siciully Island. Located at the Town of Sambuca, you can owned one house from many houses that have listed with the beautiful scenery of facing the Sea of Mediterannean  or mounts.

Based on Vice of Mayor, Giuseppe Cacioppo, for those individual who want to buy the cheap house under this program could come here and make the direct purchase.  He also said, the offer of selling a house under 1 Euro is one of government efforts in order to increase the population in the places. This is because of too many young people who have evacuated to the big city.

Behind of this, there is a reason that why this houses are sold cheaply. Actually this houses have the big broken, and need to be repaired by the buyer.

Infact, for those who are willing to buy this houses, they have to invest at least 15,000 Euro per house for the purpose of repairing the house in 3 years after bought the house. You also need to tender the deposit as much of 5,000 Euro to the local government and only given back if you have succeeded to repair the house in the amount and time stipulated.

Based on Cacioppo, the buyers could not need to worry as this place is fully of history, with the live of calm and peace and also has the fertile of agriculture lands.



With the population that have been decreased, Cacioppo said, this is the best way in order to avoid this city from being the dead city.

“We cannot let our heritage of Arabian world being lost, and luckily there have the stranger people who were willing to participate in this program and recover the condition,” said Cacioppo.



Source : SIAKAP KELI & The Guardian & Case a 1 Euro

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